Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 32.042705 36.879437 42.102480 48.149874 54.946355 62.335974 70.965523
2024-12-29 24.533501 31.421349 39.555946 49.811361 62.329352 77.042167 95.567192
2025-01-05 20.429797 28.472373 38.658242 52.363353 70.159193 92.305919 121.746927
2025-01-12 16.305544 24.491299 35.513425 51.199446 72.663499 100.680824 139.628652
2025-01-19 12.947826 20.838567 32.074780 48.893256 73.001757 105.812763 153.222575
2025-01-26 11.852099 20.184585 32.600809 51.952314 80.730933 121.198810 181.451255
2025-02-02 11.311858 20.247155 34.099986 56.458074 90.770445 140.374848 216.116044
2025-02-09 10.039655 18.925824 33.278899 57.287794 95.327945 151.874947 240.417965
2025-02-16 8.798156 17.453043 32.003453 57.198674 98.357054 161.180145 261.914965
2025-02-23 7.666534 15.990870 30.543618 56.600049 100.430765 169.038724 281.547181
2025-03-02 6.748808 14.774460 29.340064 56.259929 102.807652 177.400878 302.298493
2025-03-09 6.083195 13.935261 28.691057 56.772460 106.568644 188.091045 327.185536
2025-03-16 4.988461 12.112497 26.107521 53.742880 104.318294 189.342496 337.822992
2025-03-23 4.578564 11.660770 26.084842 55.427313 110.496732 205.044169 373.208203
2025-03-30 4.323041 11.503306 26.616247 58.198251 118.826519 224.890391 416.631980
2025-04-06 3.713821 10.429880 25.145369 56.914893 119.583387 231.702080 438.345626
2025-04-13 3.092145 9.201152 23.170807 54.382426 117.722470 233.707574 451.780430
2025-04-20 2.997949 9.270795 24.025408 57.739382 127.431349 256.979261 503.695243
2025-04-27 3.014594 9.631436 25.569715 62.680210 140.582294 287.209198 569.429240
2025-05-04 2.757403 9.209835 25.260286 63.589551 145.721730 302.898383 609.710953
2025-05-11 2.468611 8.643159 24.531853 63.491883 148.778148 314.815151 643.651162
2025-05-18 2.184331 8.029814 23.604109 62.835807 150.592688 324.414572 673.700599
2025-05-25 1.947731 7.509707 22.837476 62.463011 152.952830 335.158036 706.362473